Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001462 0.001552 0.001644 0.001747 0.001857 0.001973 0.002104
2025-02-16 0.001367 0.001499 0.001640 0.001803 0.001986 0.002187 0.002425
2025-02-23 0.001265 0.001420 0.001591 0.001795 0.002033 0.002303 0.002634
2025-03-02 0.001163 0.001330 0.001519 0.001750 0.002026 0.002348 0.002756
2025-03-09 0.001087 0.001263 0.001466 0.001719 0.002029 0.002400 0.002882
2025-03-16 0.001037 0.001222 0.001440 0.001716 0.002062 0.002485 0.003049
2025-03-23 0.000986 0.001177 0.001404 0.001698 0.002073 0.002541 0.003179
2025-03-30 0.000947 0.001142 0.001379 0.001691 0.002096 0.002611 0.003328
2025-04-06 0.000903 0.001101 0.001344 0.001668 0.002095 0.002647 0.003433
2025-04-13 0.000863 0.001061 0.001307 0.001641 0.002086 0.002673 0.003523
2025-04-20 0.000812 0.001007 0.001251 0.001584 0.002036 0.002639 0.003526
2025-04-27 0.000796 0.000996 0.001249 0.001600 0.002082 0.002737 0.003719
2025-05-04 0.000777 0.000982 0.001246 0.001617 0.002136 0.002854 0.003957
2025-05-11 0.000774 0.000989 0.001271 0.001674 0.002248 0.003061 0.004341
2025-05-18 0.000748 0.000965 0.001253 0.001669 0.002272 0.003141 0.004539
2025-05-25 0.000712 0.000925 0.001210 0.001628 0.002241 0.003138 0.004606
2025-06-01 0.000682 0.000893 0.001178 0.001600 0.002227 0.003159 0.004712
2025-06-08 0.000663 0.000875 0.001164 0.001597 0.002250 0.003236 0.004912
2025-06-15 0.000640 0.000851 0.001141 0.001580 0.002251 0.003278 0.005057
2025-06-22 0.000623 0.000833 0.001126 0.001574 0.002267 0.003345 0.005245
2025-06-29 0.000601 0.000810 0.001101 0.001552 0.002258 0.003370 0.005364
2025-07-06 0.000580 0.000786 0.001076 0.001528 0.002243 0.003384 0.005462
2025-07-13 0.000552 0.000751 0.001033 0.001476 0.002183 0.003320 0.005418